CIR Blog

The purpose of the CIR blog is to provide researchers and the public with analyses that speak directly to the question of whether comprehensive immigration reform (CIR) will pass in 2014. These analyses will use social science research methods to answer practical, policy-relevant questions. One of the focuses of the blog will be to identify likely support and opposition to an immigration reform bill, as well amendments that are likely to be introduced, for all 535 voting members of Congress. With that said, all of the standard social science caveats apply. A model is only as good as its assumptions and the quality of data. Moreover, the thickness of the “noise” – especially when the immigration debate reaches a fevered pitch – may be too much to cut through. This does not, however, mean that theoretically informed analysis of current policy-related questions is not possible. Combining the insights gained from these analyses with “on the ground” developments is, perhaps, the optimal way to make sense of the politics of immigration reform in 2013. We thus invite comments and suggestions, particularly from migration scholars and those working on immigration reform.

The CIR Blog in the news can be found here: ABC News/UnivisionSouthern California Public RadioNew York TimesFronteras DeskKPBSYahoo News, and Univision.

Please direct comments and inquires to Tom K. Wong by email to and on Twitter @twong002. We will use #cir2013blog to announce updates.


Statistical Analysis Shows that Violence, Not U.S. Immigration Policies, Is Behind the Surge of Unaccompanied Children Crossing the Border
July 11, 2014
By Tom K. Wong, Ph.D.,

A humanitarian refugee situation at the U.S. southern border has been unfolding over the past few years and dramatically intensifying over the past several months, as tens of thousands of unaccompanied children are fleeing their homes in Honduras, Guatemala, and El Salvador. In search of a safe haven…

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Mapping DACA Renewals
February 25, 2014
By Tom K. Wong, Ph.D.,

DACA: 2 Years Later 

According to the latest figures released by U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), over half a million (521,815) undocumented youth have received temporary relief from deportation under the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program. The first DACA applications were submitted on August 15, 2012 and USCIS started approving applications a month later.
DACA is…

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Will 2014 Be the Year of Comprehensive Immigration Reform?
January 10, 2014
By Tom K. Wong, Ph.D.,, @twong002

Despite hopes that 2013 would be the year of comprehensive immigration reform, legislation stalled in the House and the year ended without a bill. When the House reconvened on Tuesday, 427 days had passed since the November 2012 elections and 194 days had passed since S.744, the Senate comprehensive immigration reform bill that includes a path to citizenship, passed by a vote of 68 to 32. As immigration remains one of President Obama’s top second-term priorities, many are wondering whether comprehensive immigration reform will happen in 2014?
One way to …
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